01 / The mechanism and its boundary
What is being described
Undeclared compute is AI-relevant hardware, or use of declared hardware, that a prover has not reported to the verifier S-0002.
RAND's verification framework separates two cases: undeclared uses of declared clusters, and undeclared clusters, whether inside known data centres or standalone S-0002. The problem is sharpest for hardware that predates tracking. Shavit notes that hundreds of thousands of ML chips had already been sold, many lacking the security features his framework needs S-0029, and Scher and Thiergart write that millions of AI-relevant chips exist and that, to their knowledge, no central tracking of them has taken place S-0005. They judge that searching for secret data centres may help but is unlikely to carry a verification regime, because it will likely be too easy to hide AI compute among other compute or to build secret data centres S-0005. Sastry and colleagues caution that more efficient algorithms and more viable decentralized training could reduce how much compute, or how concentrated, a prohibited activity needs S-0053. Proposed responses include:
- Tracking hardware. Monitoring the chip supply chain and keeping a directory of chip owners S-0029, as in chip registries and manufacturing records.
- Finding facilities. National technical means such as remote sensing, energy monitoring, customs data and financial intelligence, alongside whistleblowers S-0062, as in remote detection of data centres.
- Bounding declared capacity. Wiping memory to remove residual capacity for hidden workloads on declared hardware S-0018, as in memory wiping and proofs of secure erasure.
Connections in the research map
Related research
Sources and provenance
- S-0002 / Tier B
Verifying International Agreements on AI: Six Layers of Verification for Rules on Large-Scale AI Development and Deployment ↗
M. Baker, G. Kulp, O. Marks, M. Brundage, L. Heim · 2025 · RAND Corporation
Supports: Subgoal 2: no undeclared uses of declared clusters (2.A) and no undeclared clusters in known data centres or standalone (2.B)
Locator: §3.2, Figure 4
Version and catalogue details - S-0029 / Tier B
What does it take to catch a Chinchilla? Verifying Rules on Large-Scale Neural Network Training via Compute Monitoring ↗
Y. Shavit · 2023 · arXiv
Supports: hundreds of thousands of ML chips already sold, many lacking the required security features; supply-chain monitoring and chip-owner directory
Locator: §1.2; §6; §6.1
Version and catalogue details - S-0005 / Tier B
Mechanisms to Verify International Agreements About AI Development ↗
A. Scher, L. Thiergart · 2025 · arXiv
Supports: millions of AI-relevant chips exist, with no central tracking to the authors' knowledge; detecting secret data centres unlikely to be load-bearing because AI compute will likely be too easy to hide
Locator: Verifying the location of AI compute
Version and catalogue details - S-0053 / Tier B
Computing Power and the Governance of Artificial Intelligence ↗
G. Sastry, L. Heim, H. Belfield, M. Anderljung, M. Brundage, J. Hazell, C. O'Keefe, G. K. Hadfield, R. Ngo, K. Pilz, G. Gor, E. Bluemke, S. Shoker, J. Egan, R. F. Trager, S. Avin, A. Weller, Y. Bengio, D. Coyle · 2024 · arXiv
Supports: algorithmic efficiency and decentralized training could undermine compute detectability
Locator: limitations of compute governance
Version and catalogue details - S-0062 / Tier B
Verification methods for international AI agreements ↗
A. R. Wasil, T. Reed, J. W. Miller, P. Barnett · 2024 · arXiv
Supports: national technical means (remote sensing, energy monitoring, customs, financial intelligence) and whistleblowers
Locator: Verification methods; Table 1
Version and catalogue details - S-0018 / Tier B
A System Overview for Near-Term, Low-Trust AI Compute Verification ↗
N. Cankaya · 2026 · Machine Intelligence Research Institute
Supports: memory wiping to remove residual capacity for hidden workloads
Locator: §5.1.2
Version and catalogue details
- Source review date
- 2026-09-25
- Drafted by (source map)
- ai
- Review handles (source map)
- codex-review